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College Football Coach Out By·closes in 16mo

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
996 lifetime
Open interest
996
+996 over 90d
Spread
28¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 34¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 10Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,20099¢
  • ask598¢
  • ask594¢
spread28¢mid 80¢
  • bid566¢
  • bid10065¢
  • bid1046¢
  • bid6177¢
  • bid2,0006¢
  • bid1,0003¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 8 · 3:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAFCOACHLEAVE-26MNOR-010128
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago65¢5bought yes
11d ago64¢26bought yes
11d ago60¢89bought yes
11d ago60¢9bought yes
11d ago60¢2bought yes
11d ago59¢100bought yes
11d ago55¢100bought yes
11d ago52¢28bought yes
11d ago52¢44bought yes
11d ago52¢28bought yes
11d ago50¢39bought yes
11d ago49¢22bought yes
11d ago48¢29bought yes
11d ago48¢10bought yes
11d ago47¢52bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.