College Football Spread·closed · NO

Ball St. wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
2,373
2,373 lifetime
Open interest
1,851
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 11.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:29 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
11.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL12
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
46m ago2¢81bought no
46m ago1¢200bought no
46m ago1¢2bought no
48m ago2¢15bought no
50m ago2¢1bought no
53m ago2¢3.01bought no
53m ago2¢0.99bought no
53m ago2¢0.01bought no
56m ago3¢0.82bought no
58m ago3¢0.99bought no
58m ago3¢0.18bought no
59m ago3¢1bought no
1h ago4¢1bought yes
1h ago4¢1bought yes
2h ago3¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.