galdor.xyz
Admin
College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
76.4k
81.6k lifetime
Open interest
55.1k
+26.4k over 7d
Spread
5¢
2,966 × 2,229 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 69¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 82¢
24h low 20¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volNov 4, 3:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2036¢
  • ask5135¢
  • ask2534¢
  • ask13333¢
  • ask0.0532¢
  • ask129¢
  • ask2528¢
  • ask125¢
spread8¢mid 21¢
  • bid2517¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid114¢
  • bid2.311¢
  • bid34510¢
  • bid27.1k9¢
  • bid10.0k8¢
  • bid2857¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 1.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago21¢0.04bought yes
11s ago22¢100bought no
11s ago22¢1bought no
11s ago25¢1bought no
1m ago32¢14bought yes
1m ago31¢1bought yes
6m ago23¢0.56bought no
8m ago26¢1.76bought yes
9m ago28¢1bought no
9m ago29¢1bought no
9m ago29¢5,092bought yes
11m ago31¢1bought no
11m ago34¢0.19bought yes
11m ago34¢8.43bought yes
13m ago33¢2.89bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.