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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
81.9k
81.9k lifetime
Open interest
55.1k
+55.2k over 30d
Spread
4¢
53 × 129 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 69¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 94¢
24h low 1¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volNov 4, 3:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,24518¢
  • ask6,41017¢
  • ask82016¢
  • ask53715¢
  • ask76414¢
  • ask20013¢
  • ask20012¢
  • ask12910¢
spread3¢mid 9¢
  • bid2007¢
  • bid2536¢
  • bid1,2685¢
  • bid4304¢
  • bid2503¢
  • bid6,4572¢
  • bid87.6k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 1.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago10¢21bought yes
3m ago6¢97bought no
4m ago6¢0.01bought no
4m ago6¢2.96bought no
5m ago4¢2bought no
5m ago1¢0.25bought no
5m ago3¢2bought no
5m ago1¢2bought no
5m ago2¢1bought no
5m ago3¢1bought no
6m ago5¢1bought no
6m ago5¢1bought no
6m ago8¢1bought no
6m ago11¢1bought no
7m ago16¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.