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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 13.5 points

24h volume
1,569
1,741 lifetime
Open interest
1,152
Spread
5¢
3 × 250 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−22

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00015¢
  • ask2012¢
  • ask1,13811¢
  • ask70110¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask2007¢
  • ask2506¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid31¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 13.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
13.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS14
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago2¢1bought no
4m ago9¢5.45bought yes
4m ago9¢10bought yes
4m ago8¢100bought yes
7m ago3¢3.35bought no
7m ago3¢1.9bought no
9m ago3¢0.1bought no
13m ago18¢19bought yes
13m ago25¢19bought yes
13m ago18¢5.25bought yes
14m ago17¢38bought yes
15m ago6¢0.98bought no
15m ago6¢3bought no
27m ago4¢0.01bought no
32m ago9¢3.96bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.