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College Football Spread·closes in 3d

James Madison wins by over 13.5 points

24h volume
383
734 lifetime
Open interest
664
+664 over 30d
Spread
1¢
70 × 1,500 at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 54¢
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%+1

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
24h low 53¢24h high 54¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,25062¢
  • ask161¢
  • ask1,80059¢
  • ask33.0k58¢
  • ask45.2k57¢
  • ask105.8k56¢
  • ask134.1k55¢
  • ask1,50054¢
spread1¢mid 54¢
  • bid7053¢
  • bid46.5k52¢
  • bid61.2k51¢
  • bid41.1k50¢
  • bid27.2k49¢
  • bid2,01248¢
  • bid146¢
  • bid15045¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If James Madison wins by more than 13.5 points in the James Madison vs Southern Miss college football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
13.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV05JMUUSM-JMU14
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
46m ago54¢20bought yes
1h ago54¢34bought yes
1h ago54¢11bought yes
3h ago54¢90bought yes
3h ago54¢0.18bought yes
11h ago53¢21bought yes
11h ago53¢124bought yes
11h ago54¢10bought yes
12h ago53¢46bought yes
14h ago53¢9.13bought yes
17h ago53¢18bought yes
1d ago53¢18bought no
2d ago54¢13bought no
2d ago55¢26bought yes
2d ago54¢2.09bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.