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College Football Spread·closes in 3d

James Madison wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
1,602
3,879 lifetime
Open interest
3,599
+2,088 over 90d
Spread
1¢
4,433 × 158.7k at the touch
24h range
48¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%−1

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
24h low 48¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢volNov 2, 4:00 AMNov 4, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,80056¢
  • ask2,00155¢
  • ask1,35054¢
  • ask27.3k53¢
  • ask17.0k52¢
  • ask148.4k51¢
  • ask259.4k50¢
  • ask158.7k49¢
spread1¢mid 49¢
  • bid4,43348¢
  • bid18.0k47¢
  • bid157.8k46¢
  • bid180.3k45¢
  • bid50.5k44¢
  • bid1,82543¢
  • bid25.0k42¢
  • bid15040¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If James Madison wins by more than 14.5 points in the James Madison vs Southern Miss college football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV05JMUUSM-JMU15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9m ago48¢42bought no
56m ago48¢47bought no
1h ago49¢22bought yes
1h ago48¢100bought no
1h ago48¢33bought no
1h ago49¢571bought yes
3h ago50¢5.6bought yes
3h ago49¢19bought no
4h ago50¢29bought yes
5h ago48¢93bought no
5h ago49¢4.72bought no
6h ago51¢10bought yes
8h ago49¢9.83bought yes
10h ago49¢2.04bought yes
11h ago48¢108bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.