College Football Spread·closes in 3d

UTSA wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
74.6k
75.4k lifetime
Open interest
75.3k
+75.3k over 7d
Spread
1¢
128.0k × 115.2k at the touch
24h range
44¢ – 47¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%+2

A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
NO bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
24h low 44¢24h high 47¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask154¢
  • ask1,80053¢
  • ask8,87852¢
  • ask57.3k51¢
  • ask64.7k50¢
  • ask125.9k49¢
  • ask186.3k48¢
  • ask115.2k47¢
spread1¢mid 47¢
  • bid128.0k46¢
  • bid132.2k45¢
  • bid78.9k44¢
  • bid77.0k43¢
  • bid31.2k42¢
  • bid1,00041¢
  • bid7540¢
  • bid139¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UTSA wins by more than 7.5 points in the UTSA vs Florida Atlantic college football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 4:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:30 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV05UTSAFAU-UTSA8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15m ago46¢8.97bought no
57m ago46¢18bought no
1h ago46¢18bought no
1h ago46¢8.97bought no
2h ago46¢215bought no
2h ago46¢90bought no
2h ago46¢20bought no
2h ago46¢8.97bought no
2h ago46¢17bought no
3h ago46¢36bought no
3h ago46¢1bought no
3h ago46¢54bought no
3h ago47¢31bought yes
3h ago46¢8bought no
3h ago47¢0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.