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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Illinois wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
80
224 lifetime
Open interest
213
Spread
2¢
5,837 × 88 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 70¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5939¢
  • ask2,77538¢
  • ask4,33737¢
  • ask1,82036¢
  • ask10.0k35¢
  • ask89434¢
  • ask4,35633¢
  • ask8832¢
spread2¢mid 31¢
  • bid5,83730¢
  • bid1,27029¢
  • bid5,49328¢
  • bid1,99327¢
  • bid4,24026¢
  • bid2,75025¢
  • bid2524¢
  • bid5123¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Illinois wins by more than 2.5 points in the Nebraska vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06NEBILL-ILL3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago33¢33bought no
7h ago33¢1bought no
18h ago34¢46bought yes
2d ago33¢4bought no
2d ago35¢27bought yes
3d ago34¢5bought yes
3d ago35¢0.57bought yes
3d ago34¢0.01bought yes
3d ago30¢0.01bought no
3d ago35¢1bought yes
3d ago38¢12bought yes
3d ago34¢1.36bought yes
3d ago39¢11bought yes
3d ago22¢1.36bought no
3d ago23¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.