College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Nebraska wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
27.7k
30.8k lifetime
Open interest
27.2k
Spread
1¢
960 × 122.8k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%+1

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,30158¢
  • ask2557¢
  • ask52.9k56¢
  • ask55.6k55¢
  • ask46.3k54¢
  • ask170.0k53¢
  • ask96.6k52¢
  • ask122.8k51¢
spread1¢mid 51¢
  • bid96050¢
  • bid108.5k49¢
  • bid179.7k48¢
  • bid53.6k47¢
  • bid33.9k46¢
  • bid63845¢
  • bid2,42044¢
  • bid143¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Nebraska wins by more than 4.5 points in the Nebraska vs Illinois college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06NEBILL-NEB5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20m ago52¢9bought yes
1h ago51¢9bought yes
2h ago50¢97bought no
2h ago50¢18bought no
2h ago50¢74bought no
2h ago49¢65bought no
3h ago51¢0.19bought yes
4h ago50¢1bought no
4h ago50¢966bought no
6h ago50¢73bought no
6h ago50¢1.93bought no
7h ago50¢9bought no
7h ago50¢10bought no
7h ago51¢70bought no
7h ago51¢1,000bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.