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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Arizona wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
32.1k
34.5k lifetime
Open interest
34.2k
Spread
1¢
46.7k × 8,320 at the touch
24h range
45¢ – 47¢
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%−3

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
24h low 45¢24h high 47¢
Recent buying5% YES · 95% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00052¢
  • ask1,37551¢
  • ask1,96150¢
  • ask2,35449¢
  • ask68.2k48¢
  • ask76.4k47¢
  • ask130.5k46¢
  • ask8,32045¢
spread1¢mid 44¢
  • bid46.7k44¢
  • bid207.7k43¢
  • bid115.2k42¢
  • bid11.2k41¢
  • bid6639¢
  • bid15738¢
  • bid2537¢
  • bid736¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 9.5 points in the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 3:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 6:15 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06TCUARIZ-ARIZ10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 47 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago45¢43bought yes
3h ago45¢70bought yes
3h ago45¢303bought yes
5h ago45¢400bought no
5h ago46¢433bought no
5h ago46¢30.5kbought no
6h ago47¢46bought no
21h ago47¢5bought no
21h ago47¢168bought no
21h ago47¢101bought no
24h ago47¢46bought no
1d ago48¢10bought yes
1d ago47¢55bought no
1d ago48¢4.02bought yes
1d ago47¢9.13bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.