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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Arizona wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
5,110
5,882 lifetime
Open interest
5,860
+5,110 over 24h
Spread
1¢
12.0k × 3,240 at the touch
24h range
41¢ – 43¢
46 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%−3

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 60¢
24h low 41¢24h high 43¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 4, 5:12 AMNov 5, 5:10 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,09448¢
  • ask7,33947¢
  • ask9,66946¢
  • ask1,11345¢
  • ask8,17844¢
  • ask10.9k43¢
  • ask12.1k42¢
  • ask3,24041¢
spread1¢mid 41¢
  • bid12.0k40¢
  • bid7,57339¢
  • bid19.5k38¢
  • bid5,19237¢
  • bid6636¢
  • bid1335¢
  • bid2534¢
  • bid15833¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 10.5 points in the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 3:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 6:15 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06TCUARIZ-ARIZ11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 46 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago41¢676bought yes
3h ago41¢416bought yes
4h ago41¢23bought yes
4h ago41¢45bought yes
4h ago41¢675bought yes
4h ago41¢67bought yes
4h ago41¢23bought yes
5h ago41¢181bought yes
5h ago41¢133bought yes
5h ago41¢23bought yes
5h ago41¢22bought yes
5h ago41¢450bought yes
7h ago43¢11bought yes
8h ago43¢324bought yes
9h ago43¢63bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.