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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Arizona wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
3,064
5,474 lifetime
Open interest
5,474
+5,474 over 7d
Spread
1¢
2,236 × 1,971 at the touch
24h range
40¢ – 42¢
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%−2

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
24h low 40¢24h high 42¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
35¢40¢45¢50¢volNov 2, 7:00 PMNov 5, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask148¢
  • ask2946¢
  • ask23845¢
  • ask48244¢
  • ask1,24543¢
  • ask10.3k42¢
  • ask15.4k41¢
  • ask1,97140¢
spread1¢mid 40¢
  • bid2,23639¢
  • bid2,59238¢
  • bid8537¢
  • bid8336¢
  • bid5,11335¢
  • bid5,71534¢
  • bid1833¢
  • bid3332¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 11.5 points in the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 3:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 6:15 AM UTC
floor
11.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06TCUARIZ-ARIZ12
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago40¢453bought yes
3h ago40¢344bought yes
3h ago40¢23bought yes
4h ago40¢705bought yes
4h ago40¢24bought yes
4h ago40¢173bought yes
5h ago40¢731bought yes
9h ago42¢516bought yes
9h ago42¢9.81bought yes
9h ago42¢66bought yes
9h ago42¢19bought yes
1d ago42¢12bought yes
1d ago42¢520bought yes
1d ago42¢361bought yes
1d ago42¢674bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.