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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Arizona wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
1,046
6,233 lifetime
Open interest
4,385
+838 over 24h
Spread
1¢
72 × 6,603 at the touch
24h range
56¢ – 59¢
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%−2

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
24h low 56¢24h high 59¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢55¢60¢65¢volNov 4, 6:50 AMNov 5, 4:29 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask164¢
  • ask5763¢
  • ask2562¢
  • ask5,98160¢
  • ask9,38959¢
  • ask41.1k58¢
  • ask50.0k57¢
  • ask6,60356¢
spread1¢mid 56¢
  • bid7255¢
  • bid49.5k54¢
  • bid88.9k53¢
  • bid25.6k52¢
  • bid10.6k51¢
  • bid550¢
  • bid1549¢
  • bid12047¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 6.5 points in the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 3:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 6:15 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06TCUARIZ-ARIZ7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago56¢67bought yes
2h ago56¢800bought yes
2h ago56¢3bought yes
3h ago56¢0.43bought yes
5h ago57¢10bought no
5h ago57¢10bought no
5h ago58¢17bought yes
13h ago58¢5bought no
15h ago59¢0.82bought yes
16h ago59¢66bought yes
17h ago58¢6bought yes
17h ago59¢11bought yes
22h ago58¢0.75bought yes
1d ago58¢50bought yes
1d ago58¢8.35bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.