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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

Arizona wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
410
1,858 lifetime
Open interest
1,600
+370 over 24h
Spread
1¢
19.8k × 5,724 at the touch
24h range
46¢ – 50¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%−2

A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
NO bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
24h low 46¢24h high 50¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢45¢50¢55¢volNov 4, 5:08 AMNov 5, 4:50 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,80554¢
  • ask2,02553¢
  • ask1,35052¢
  • ask6,63351¢
  • ask8,50250¢
  • ask48.2k49¢
  • ask148.0k48¢
  • ask5,72447¢
spread1¢mid 47¢
  • bid19.8k46¢
  • bid89.9k45¢
  • bid115.1k44¢
  • bid8,15243¢
  • bid33942¢
  • bid141¢
  • bid640¢
  • bid21539¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 8.5 points in the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 3:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 6:15 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06TCUARIZ-ARIZ9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29m ago47¢21bought yes
2h ago46¢3.58bought no
3h ago46¢18bought no
4h ago46¢8.97bought no
5h ago48¢70bought no
5h ago49¢99bought yes
9h ago49¢49bought yes
11h ago49¢30bought yes
12h ago49¢9.85bought yes
13h ago49¢3bought no
16h ago50¢19bought yes
21h ago49¢50bought yes
22h ago48¢0.83bought no
24h ago48¢9.3bought no
1d ago49¢20bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.