College Football Spread·closes in 4d

New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
999
4,164 lifetime
Open interest
4,015
+3,070 over 90d
Spread
1¢
70 × 34.5k at the touch
24h range
49¢ – 54¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%+1

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
24h low 49¢24h high 54¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

45¢50¢55¢60¢volNov 2, 4:00 AMNov 4, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,25060¢
  • ask1,84458¢
  • ask2,00057¢
  • ask1,65356¢
  • ask5,78855¢
  • ask29.8k54¢
  • ask96.8k53¢
  • ask34.5k52¢
spread1¢mid 52¢
  • bid7051¢
  • bid13.3k50¢
  • bid33.0k49¢
  • bid6,95748¢
  • bid49.6k47¢
  • bid12.3k46¢
  • bid6643¢
  • bid16842¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If New Mexico wins by more than 9.5 points in the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06UNMNEV-UNM10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago52¢56bought yes
31m ago52¢33bought yes
1h ago50¢0.17bought no
1h ago50¢9.49bought no
1h ago50¢9.66bought no
2h ago50¢19bought no
2h ago50¢0.79bought no
2h ago50¢19bought no
3h ago50¢2bought no
3h ago50¢17bought no
3h ago51¢18bought yes
5h ago50¢1bought no
5h ago51¢6.47bought yes
5h ago51¢3bought yes
7h ago49¢1.89bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.