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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
5,025
5,138 lifetime
Open interest
5,138
+5,138 over 30d
Spread
1¢
6,721 × 2,066 at the touch
24h range
57¢ – 58¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
24h low 57¢24h high 58¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volOct 31Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6767¢
  • ask165¢
  • ask2564¢
  • ask6562¢
  • ask9,58261¢
  • ask10.4k60¢
  • ask18.4k59¢
  • ask2,06658¢
spread1¢mid 57¢
  • bid6,72157¢
  • bid13.8k56¢
  • bid7,54055¢
  • bid11.4k54¢
  • bid6,49553¢
  • bid18.5k52¢
  • bid57251¢
  • bid2650¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SMU wins by more than 3.5 points in the Virginia Tech vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 31 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06VTSMU-SMU4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago57¢1bought yes
3h ago58¢476bought yes
3h ago58¢238bought yes
3h ago58¢4,309bought yes
3h ago58¢1bought yes
1d ago58¢0.12bought yes
1d ago58¢70bought yes
2d ago57¢0.42bought yes
3d ago56¢22bought no
4d ago91¢9bought yes
4d ago91¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.