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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

SMU wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
571
1,089 lifetime
Open interest
1,074
+564 over 24h
Spread
1¢
119 × 39.5k at the touch
24h range
51¢ – 53¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%+1

A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 53¢
NO bid / ask
47¢ / 48¢
24h low 51¢24h high 53¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢volNov 4, 4:01 AMNov 5, 2:11 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask160¢
  • ask16559¢
  • ask1,08058¢
  • ask2,16157¢
  • ask38.4k56¢
  • ask100.7k55¢
  • ask72.0k54¢
  • ask39.5k53¢
spread1¢mid 53¢
  • bid11952¢
  • bid9651¢
  • bid22.1k50¢
  • bid29.3k49¢
  • bid19.6k48¢
  • bid53.8k47¢
  • bid49346¢
  • bid2,06845¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SMU wins by more than 5.5 points in the Virginia Tech vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 31 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06VTSMU-SMU6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago53¢64bought yes
2h ago53¢18bought yes
3h ago53¢251bought yes
3h ago53¢102bought yes
3h ago53¢2bought yes
3h ago53¢10bought yes
3h ago52¢40bought no
9h ago53¢35bought yes
16h ago53¢18bought yes
22h ago53¢19bought yes
22h ago53¢9.13bought yes
23h ago51¢2bought no
1d ago52¢3bought yes
1d ago51¢5.91bought no
1d ago52¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.