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College Football Spread·closes in 4d

SMU wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
641
1,253 lifetime
Open interest
1,079
Spread
1¢
5,683 × 40.2k at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
42%+1

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
58%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3150¢
  • ask1,80049¢
  • ask2,00048¢
  • ask28.3k47¢
  • ask33.4k46¢
  • ask30.4k45¢
  • ask35.9k44¢
  • ask40.2k43¢
spread1¢mid 43¢
  • bid5,68342¢
  • bid5,20841¢
  • bid22.8k40¢
  • bid85.2k39¢
  • bid44.3k38¢
  • bid7,02237¢
  • bid10836¢
  • bid135¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SMU wins by more than 7.5 points in the Virginia Tech vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 31 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV06VTSMU-SMU8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago42¢167bought no
4h ago43¢7.15bought yes
4h ago43¢2.85bought yes
4h ago43¢35bought yes
9h ago41¢79bought no
10h ago41¢330bought no
11h ago41¢20bought no
1d ago41¢82bought no
1d ago41¢41bought no
2d ago41¢70bought yes
2d ago40¢33bought no
2d ago41¢6bought no
2d ago40¢7.15bought no
2d ago41¢31bought no
2d ago41¢7.15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.