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College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Baylor wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
10.4k
11.8k lifetime
Open interest
11.6k
+737 over 90d
Spread
1¢
22.6k × 5,672 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 52¢
45 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%−3

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
24h low 50¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢60¢65¢volNov 3, 5:00 AMNov 4, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask258¢
  • ask1,82557¢
  • ask2,84856¢
  • ask15.5k55¢
  • ask6,26054¢
  • ask28.0k53¢
  • ask14.6k52¢
  • ask5,67251¢
spread1¢mid 51¢
  • bid22.6k50¢
  • bid87.2k49¢
  • bid33.0k48¢
  • bid5,29047¢
  • bid6,45146¢
  • bid4,36345¢
  • bid144¢
  • bid243¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Baylor wins by more than 9.5 points in the Iowa St. vs Baylor college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 5:05 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:00 PM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07ISUBAY-BAY10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 45 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago51¢9.47bought yes
1h ago50¢58bought no
2h ago50¢19bought no
2h ago51¢27bought yes
2h ago51¢18bought yes
2h ago51¢20bought yes
5h ago51¢1,270bought yes
7h ago50¢1.93bought no
8h ago51¢9.47bought yes
9h ago51¢47bought yes
12h ago51¢2,463bought no
12h ago51¢574bought no
12h ago51¢1,213bought no
12h ago51¢4,000bought no
12h ago51¢250bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.