College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
22.1k
42.0k lifetime
Open interest
34.7k
Spread
1¢
75.2k × 31.0k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%−1

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,86659¢
  • ask24.6k58¢
  • ask26.4k57¢
  • ask2,70456¢
  • ask10.3k55¢
  • ask57.0k54¢
  • ask69.4k53¢
  • ask31.0k52¢
spread1¢mid 52¢
  • bid75.2k51¢
  • bid135.4k50¢
  • bid176.2k49¢
  • bid52.2k48¢
  • bid39.0k47¢
  • bid49246¢
  • bid144¢
  • bid2,21541¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Texas wins by more than 2.5 points in the Texas vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:00 PM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07TEXMIZZ-TEX3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago52¢56bought yes
24m ago52¢130bought yes
26m ago52¢43bought yes
43m ago51¢2bought no
47m ago52¢28bought yes
1h ago51¢327bought no
1h ago51¢4,439bought no
1h ago51¢0.32bought no
1h ago51¢10bought no
1h ago51¢24bought no
1h ago51¢16bought no
1h ago51¢4.54bought no
1h ago51¢19bought no
1h ago51¢14bought no
1h ago51¢1.64bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.