College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
2,473
19.7k lifetime
Open interest
12.6k
+12.6k over 7d
Spread
1¢
30.5k × 24.5k at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 44¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%+1

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
24h low 43¢24h high 44¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢45¢50¢55¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6552¢
  • ask151¢
  • ask20.6k50¢
  • ask21.4k49¢
  • ask30.7k48¢
  • ask48.4k47¢
  • ask36.1k46¢
  • ask24.5k45¢
spread1¢mid 44¢
  • bid30.5k44¢
  • bid77.4k43¢
  • bid80.3k42¢
  • bid36.7k41¢
  • bid46.1k40¢
  • bid2,13639¢
  • bid2538¢
  • bid5037¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Texas wins by more than 3.5 points in the Texas vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 8:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:00 PM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07TEXMIZZ-TEX4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago44¢215bought yes
2h ago44¢0.47bought yes
2h ago44¢0.03bought yes
2h ago44¢3bought yes
3h ago43¢341bought no
4h ago43¢213bought no
5h ago43¢51bought no
6h ago43¢511bought no
8h ago43¢12bought no
8h ago43¢51bought no
8h ago43¢426bought no
9h ago43¢85bought no
10h ago43¢145bought no
10h ago43¢43bought no
12h ago43¢128bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.