Team to Make the College Football Playoffs before 2030·closes in 40mo

Will Iowa qualify for the CFP after Issuance and before the 2030-31 season?

YES means Iowa reach the CFP before 2030

24h volume: 0; 59 lifetime
Open interest: 20
Spread: 3¢; 600 × 868 at the touch
24h range: –; 6 recent trades

Chance of YES

48%

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

52%

costs 57¢

YES bid / ask

43¢ / 46¢

NO bid / ask

54¢ / 57¢

Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,05099¢
ask5,00098¢
ask4551¢
ask10048¢
ask86846¢

spread3¢mid 44¢

bid60043¢
bid4520¢
bid1,06919¢
bid1,0501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Iowa football team qualifies for the College Football Playoffs after Issuance and before the 2030-31 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 19 · 7:29 PM UTC
closes: Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNCAAFTFUT-30IOWA-Y

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Iowa to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1d ago	48¢	9	bought yes
1d ago	48¢	9.98	bought yes
3d ago	43¢	10	bought no
4d ago	46¢	10	bought yes
10d ago	47¢	10	bought yes
16d ago	45¢	10	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.