Team to Make the College Football Playoffs before 2030·closes in 40mo

Will Kansas qualify for the CFP after Issuance and before the 2030-31 season?

YES means Kansas reach the CFP before 2030

24h volume: 0; 30 lifetime
Open interest: 30; +5.27 over 30d
Spread: 1¢; 2,000 × 1,119 at the touch
24h range: –; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

14%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

86%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask

15¢ / 16¢

NO bid / ask

84¢ / 85¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,05099¢
ask5,00096¢
ask40021¢
ask1,11916¢

spread1¢mid 16¢

bid2,00015¢
bid1,00013¢
bid1,5372¢
bid1,0501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Kansas football team qualifies for the College Football Playoffs after Issuance and before the 2030-31 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 19 · 7:29 PM UTC
closes: Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNCAAFTFUT-30KU-Y

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
2d ago	14¢	0.01	bought yes
2d ago	13¢	0.01	bought yes
22d ago	18¢	5.25	bought yes
30d ago	19¢	25	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.