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Team to Make the College Football Playoffs before 2030·closes in 40mo

Will Nebraska qualify for the CFP after Issuance and before the 2030-31 season?

YES means Nebraska reach the CFP before 2030

24h volume
226
4,539 lifetime
Open interest
3,385
+3,175 over 30d
Spread
1¢
1,000 × 1,664 at the touch
24h range
24¢ – 37¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%+2

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 64¢
24h low 24¢24h high 37¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,87098¢
  • ask6,13097¢
  • ask50190¢
  • ask19287¢
  • ask76485¢
  • ask2,14383¢
  • ask1182¢
  • ask1,66437¢
spread1¢mid 37¢
  • bid1,00036¢
  • bid18413¢
  • bid1,52310¢
  • bid1958¢
  • bid7774¢
  • bid2,7703¢
  • bid3,8102¢
  • bid3,0201¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Nebraska football team qualifies for the College Football Playoffs after Issuance and before the 2030-31 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 7:29 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAFTFUT-30NEB-Y
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Nebraska to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago37¢26bought yes
24h ago37¢200bought yes
3d ago35¢200bought yes
3d ago31¢200bought yes
5d ago27¢90bought yes
5d ago25¢50bought yes
5d ago25¢800bought yes
5d ago25¢200bought yes
5d ago25¢400bought yes
5d ago25¢200bought yes
5d ago25¢100bought yes
5d ago25¢49bought yes
5d ago25¢100bought yes
5d ago25¢200bought yes
5d ago25¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.