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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 2d

Santa Clara wins

YES means Santa Clara

24h volume
31.0k
31.2k lifetime
Open interest
30.4k
+2,385 over 7d
Spread
1¢
703 × 6,687 at the touch
24h range
92¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%+2

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 2¢

YES bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
24h low 92¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 2Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,68799¢
spread1¢mid 99¢
  • bid70398¢
  • bid2,43097¢
  • bid11096¢
  • bid1,11695¢
  • bid40894¢
  • bid2,48092¢
  • bid9191¢
  • bid1,05090¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Santa Clara wins the Milwaukee vs Santa Clara men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:33 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV04MILWSCU-SCU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37s ago98¢10bought no
56s ago99¢0.01bought yes
1m ago98¢24bought no
2m ago99¢25bought yes
3m ago99¢102bought yes
3m ago99¢165bought yes
3m ago99¢36bought yes
3m ago99¢1bought yes
3m ago98¢10bought no
3m ago98¢165bought no
3m ago98¢6.1bought no
3m ago98¢4.9bought no
5m ago99¢1bought yes
5m ago99¢1bought yes
6m ago99¢165bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.