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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 2d

California wins

YES means California

24h volume
45.1k
45.6k lifetime
Open interest
37.3k
+16.4k over 30d
Spread
1¢
274 × 0 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%+5

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 1¢

YES bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
24h low 85¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 1Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid27499¢
    • bid2,72998¢
    • bid1,80097¢
    • bid1,50096¢
    • bid3,00095¢
    • bid4,00094¢
    • bid2,00092¢
    • bid80091¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If California wins the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 1 · 4:32 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2m ago99¢463bought no
    2m ago99¢21bought no
    2m ago99¢87bought no
    2m ago99¢0.08bought no
    2m ago99¢0.01bought no
    5m ago99¢10bought no
    7m ago99¢513bought yes
    7m ago99¢87bought yes
    7m ago98¢100bought no
    7m ago99¢10bought yes
    8m ago99¢100bought no
    8m ago99¢469bought no
    8m ago99¢93bought no
    9m ago99¢40bought no
    9m ago99¢48bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.