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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Buffalo wins

YES means Buffalo

24h volume
7,317
7,883 lifetime
Open interest
7,777
Spread
1¢
47 × 5,344 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+1

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4513¢
  • ask55012¢
  • ask9711¢
  • ask46410¢
  • ask1,1969¢
  • ask4,2208¢
  • ask1,4617¢
  • ask5,3446¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid475¢
  • bid7194¢
  • bid1,1703¢
  • bid16.2k2¢
  • bid1,9251¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Buffalo wins the Buffalo vs Pittsburgh men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:20 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05BUFFPITT-BUFF
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago6¢78bought yes
3h ago6¢16bought yes
3h ago6¢235bought yes
5h ago5¢10bought yes
5h ago5¢8.51bought yes
7h ago6¢16bought yes
7h ago5¢154bought yes
8h ago5¢94bought yes
10h ago5¢131bought yes
12h ago5¢38bought yes
12h ago5¢44bought yes
13h ago4¢523bought yes
13h ago4¢2bought yes
13h ago5¢424bought yes
13h ago4¢234bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.