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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Penn St. wins

YES means Penn St.

24h volume
267
291 lifetime
Open interest
285
+267 over 24h
Spread
1¢
390 × 5,556 at the touch
24h range
93¢ – 95¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%+2

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 8¢

YES bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
24h low 93¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 4, 4:55 AMNov 5, 4:28 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask12.6k99¢
  • ask4,68598¢
  • ask8,93097¢
  • ask10.8k96¢
  • ask28.0k95¢
  • ask3,76794¢
  • ask5,55693¢
spread1¢mid 93¢
  • bid39092¢
  • bid57091¢
  • bid3,25490¢
  • bid4,53189¢
  • bid2,95688¢
  • bid5,84787¢
  • bid41386¢
  • bid83785¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Penn St. wins the Chattanooga vs Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 11:22 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05CHATPSU-PSU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago93¢16bought yes
1h ago93¢9.7bought yes
2h ago93¢2.14bought yes
5h ago94¢5bought yes
5h ago94¢5.29bought yes
6h ago94¢1bought yes
7h ago94¢90bought yes
7h ago94¢100bought yes
11h ago95¢18bought yes
19h ago94¢20bought yes
1d ago91¢1bought no
1d ago95¢1bought yes
1d ago95¢0.5bought yes
2d ago95¢1bought yes
2d ago91¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.