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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Chicago St. wins

YES means Chicago St.

24h volume
126
129 lifetime
Open interest
127
Spread
4¢
3 × 3 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%+2

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 78¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask134¢
  • ask7533¢
  • ask2032¢
  • ask6131¢
  • ask1,25829¢
  • ask1,29428¢
  • ask1,08427¢
  • ask326¢
spread4¢mid 24¢
  • bid322¢
  • bid23821¢
  • bid10020¢
  • bid3019¢
  • bid17518¢
  • bid1017¢
  • bid6016¢
  • bid12412¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chicago St. wins the Chicago St. vs Incarnate Word men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:23 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05CHSIW-CHS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 112¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago27¢0.59bought yes
8m ago26¢3bought yes
12m ago27¢103bought yes
12m ago26¢3bought yes
2h ago26¢3bought yes
2h ago27¢4.12bought yes
2h ago16¢2bought no
11h ago24¢5bought yes
21h ago23¢0.86bought yes
21h ago23¢1.2bought yes
1d ago25¢3.8bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.