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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Cal Poly wins

YES means Cal Poly

24h volume
2,417
3,563 lifetime
Open interest
3,463
+2,434 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 12.1k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−1

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 2, 2:00 PMNov 5, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7008¢
  • ask36.7k7¢
  • ask3336¢
  • ask4,0605¢
  • ask26.1k4¢
  • ask3,0503¢
  • ask23.7k2¢
  • ask12.1k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Cal Poly wins the Cal Poly vs Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 2 · 5:13 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 8 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 6 · 6:30 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05CPARIZ-CP
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 38 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    43m ago1¢94bought yes
    45m ago1¢935bought yes
    59m ago1¢1bought yes
    1h ago1¢100bought yes
    1h ago1¢500bought yes
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢0.54bought no
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢1bought no
    1h ago1¢100bought no
    2h ago2¢23bought yes
    2h ago2¢47bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.