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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Mercer wins

YES means Mercer

24h volume
2,345
3,652 lifetime
Open interest
3,652
Spread
1¢
133 × 13.8k at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask114¢
  • ask55010¢
  • ask209¢
  • ask1,2698¢
  • ask9427¢
  • ask29.4k6¢
  • ask8,2115¢
  • ask13.8k4¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid1333¢
  • bid5482¢
  • bid26.2k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mercer wins the Mercer vs Virginia Tech men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:23 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05MERVT-MER
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago4¢17bought yes
57m ago4¢70bought yes
3h ago4¢16bought yes
5h ago4¢23bought yes
5h ago4¢70bought yes
6h ago4¢23bought yes
6h ago4¢23bought yes
7h ago5¢19bought yes
8h ago5¢94bought yes
19h ago5¢375bought yes
20h ago5¢9.37bought yes
21h ago5¢150bought yes
22h ago5¢94bought yes
22h ago5¢913bought yes
22h ago5¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.