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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Notre Dame wins

YES means Notre Dame

24h volume
497
589 lifetime
Open interest
476
Spread
1¢
165 × 81 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+2

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 4¢

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask138.7k99¢
  • ask3,27298¢
  • ask8197¢
spread1¢mid 97¢
  • bid16596¢
  • bid2,19195¢
  • bid76894¢
  • bid2,49093¢
  • bid1392¢
  • bid1691¢
  • bid3390¢
  • bid2587¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Notre Dame wins the Mercyhurst vs Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 2 · 2:22 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05MHUND-ND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
41m ago97¢1.08bought no
1h ago98¢1.01bought yes
3h ago96¢1.04bought no
3h ago97¢1.08bought yes
6h ago98¢10bought no
8h ago99¢10bought yes
15h ago97¢1bought yes
15h ago97¢60bought yes
15h ago97¢0.01bought yes
15h ago98¢0.01bought no
15h ago98¢1bought no
15h ago98¢1.9bought yes
15h ago98¢2.59bought yes
15h ago98¢24bought yes
15h ago99¢2.91bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.