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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Kentucky wins

YES means Kentucky

24h volume
40
303 lifetime
Open interest
283
+153 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1,031 × 20 at the touch
24h range
98¢ – 99¢
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%+1

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
24h low 98¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volNov 3, 3:00 AMNov 5, 6:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,80199¢
  • ask2098¢
spread1¢mid 98¢
  • bid1,03197¢
  • bid17594¢
  • bid1093¢
  • bid187¢
  • bid14082¢
  • bid9864¢
  • bid54063¢
  • bid56954¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kentucky wins the James Madison vs Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 2:12 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06JMUUK-UK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago98¢20bought no
10h ago99¢20bought yes
2d ago97¢1bought no
2d ago97¢8bought yes
2d ago97¢124bought yes
2d ago97¢3bought yes
2d ago95¢120bought yes
2d ago95¢7bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.