galdor.xyz
Admin
Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Michigan wins

YES means Michigan

24h volume
327
719 lifetime
Open interest
691
Spread
2¢
275 × 64 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%−2

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 72¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4737¢
  • ask2,23036¢
  • ask9,73635¢
  • ask3,10234¢
  • ask62833¢
  • ask29832¢
  • ask2,71931¢
  • ask6430¢
spread2¢mid 29¢
  • bid27528¢
  • bid31727¢
  • bid1,11326¢
  • bid47525¢
  • bid26524¢
  • bid13523¢
  • bid1,22122¢
  • bid3,23421¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Michigan wins the Michigan vs UConn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 2:18 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06MICHCONN-MICH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
36m ago30¢27bought yes
1h ago30¢6bought yes
2h ago30¢13bought yes
3h ago30¢13bought yes
4h ago30¢1bought yes
6h ago30¢13bought yes
7h ago30¢79bought yes
8h ago30¢6bought yes
10h ago31¢9.23bought yes
11h ago30¢1bought no
11h ago30¢25bought no
12h ago31¢15bought yes
12h ago31¢23bought yes
13h ago31¢62bought yes
15h ago31¢3.16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.