Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Minnesota wins

YES means Minnesota

24h volume
0
8.83 lifetime
Open interest
8.83
+8.83 over 90d
Spread
5¢
100 × 931 at the touch
24h range
91¢ – 95¢
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 11¢
24h low 91¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,67199¢
  • ask1,05198¢
  • ask1,06897¢
  • ask1,22696¢
  • ask1,01495¢
  • ask93194¢
spread5¢mid 92¢
  • bid10089¢
  • bid26888¢
  • bid17587¢
  • bid1,07786¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid180¢
  • bid6478¢
  • bid14074¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins the St. Thomas vs Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 3 · 2:20 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06USTMINN-MINN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 105¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago95¢0.5bought yes
1d ago95¢0.33bought yes
1d ago95¢4.91bought yes
2d ago95¢2.09bought yes
2d ago91¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.