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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Purdue wins

YES means Purdue

24h volume
1
131 lifetime
Open interest
131
Spread
2¢
1,316 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 6¢

YES bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,89099¢
  • ask7.9897¢
  • ask1096¢
spread1¢mid 96¢
  • bid2595¢
  • bid1,31694¢
  • bid10093¢
  • bid1392¢
  • bid184¢
  • bid14079¢
  • bid8760¢
  • bid559¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Purdue wins the Valparaiso vs Purdue men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 2:12 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 11:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 2:30 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06VALPPUR-PUR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago97¢1bought yes
1d ago97¢1.02bought yes
2d ago96¢1bought no
2d ago97¢1bought yes
2d ago95¢7bought yes
2d ago95¢120bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.