Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Valparaiso wins

YES means Valparaiso

24h volume
378
1,060 lifetime
Open interest
1,060
+45 over 24h
Spread
2¢
20 × 1,183 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
24h low 4¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 6:47 AMNov 5, 6:11 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask541¢
  • ask14019¢
  • ask114¢
  • ask989¢
  • ask38¢
  • ask1,1506¢
  • ask1,0775¢
  • ask1,1834¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid202¢
  • bid3,0731¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Valparaiso wins the Valparaiso vs Purdue men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 3 · 2:12 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 11:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 2:30 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06VALPPUR-VALP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22h ago4¢33bought yes
23h ago4¢12bought yes
24h ago4¢333bought yes
1d ago4¢23bought yes
2d ago3¢31bought yes
2d ago3¢1bought yes
2d ago4¢469bought yes
2d ago3¢127bought yes
2d ago5¢25bought yes
2d ago6¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.