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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 4d

Yale wins

YES means Yale

24h volume
5
157 lifetime
Open interest
157
Spread
5¢
1,025 × 1 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−1

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 93¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05345¢
  • ask539¢
  • ask14035¢
  • ask131¢
  • ask1,03523¢
  • ask1,07521¢
  • ask9118¢
  • ask112¢
spread5¢mid 10¢
  • bid1,0257¢
  • bid1,1646¢
  • bid34¢
  • bid2,5222¢
  • bid6,6291¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Yale wins the Yale vs UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 2:16 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV06YALEUCF-YALE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 105¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago11¢5bought yes
2d ago12¢78bought yes
2d ago8¢38bought yes
2d ago9¢10bought yes
2d ago9¢15bought yes
2d ago8¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.