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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
2,793
2,793 lifetime
Open interest
2,791
Spread
3¢
2,377 × 2,417 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 96¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4231¢
  • ask14021¢
  • ask1,00117¢
  • ask80013¢
  • ask25012¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask1008¢
  • ask2,4177¢
spread3¢mid 5¢
  • bid2,3774¢
  • bid1003¢
  • bid652¢
  • bid981¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Milwaukee wins by more than 3.5 points in the Milwaukee vs Santa Clara men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 5:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04MILWSCU-MILW4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35m ago5¢20bought yes
35m ago6¢124bought yes
35m ago7¢111bought yes
35m ago6¢15bought yes
35m ago6¢2,000bought yes
35m ago7¢20bought yes
35m ago6¢431bought yes
35m ago7¢18bought yes
35m ago6¢25bought yes
35m ago7¢10bought yes
35m ago7¢15bought yes
9h ago5¢2.01bought yes
21h ago1¢2.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.