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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Santa Clara wins by over 20.5 points

24h volume
2,007
2,007 lifetime
Open interest
1,666
Spread
2¢
4,186 × 6,299 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 65¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask17844¢
  • ask40443¢
  • ask13142¢
  • ask1,07641¢
  • ask1,52940¢
  • ask1,41939¢
  • ask5,62238¢
  • ask6,29937¢
spread2¢mid 36¢
  • bid4,18635¢
  • bid3,34434¢
  • bid2,69833¢
  • bid5,74232¢
  • bid1,53831¢
  • bid2,00130¢
  • bid56528¢
  • bid25227¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Santa Clara wins by more than 20.5 points in the Milwaukee vs Santa Clara men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 5:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
20.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04MILWSCU-SCU21
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago37¢26bought yes
12m ago35¢1,623bought no
30m ago37¢259bought yes
35m ago37¢52bought yes
2h ago33¢8.75bought no
3h ago34¢30bought no
20h ago37¢4.57bought no
21h ago42¢4.57bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.