galdor.xyz
Admin
Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 15.5 points

24h volume
12.0k
12.2k lifetime
Open interest
9,830
Spread
6¢
90 × 2,340 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 64¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%+6

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 41¢
24h low 34¢24h high 64¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask276¢
  • ask275¢
  • ask25274¢
  • ask373¢
  • ask80672¢
  • ask11.4k71¢
  • ask7870¢
  • ask76069¢
spread10¢mid 64¢
  • bid8259¢
  • bid6,02058¢
  • bid80057¢
  • bid156¢
  • bid255¢
  • bid254¢
  • bid253¢
  • bid50252¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 15.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
15.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC16
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago64¢109bought yes
6m ago56¢392bought yes
6m ago55¢825bought yes
6m ago55¢175bought yes
8m ago55¢3bought no
10m ago51¢1bought yes
10m ago50¢2bought yes
10m ago52¢5bought yes
10m ago52¢3bought yes
10m ago51¢70bought yes
10m ago51¢120bought yes
11m ago46¢60bought no
11m ago46¢88bought no
11m ago45¢208bought no
11m ago47¢60bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.