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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 15.5 points

24h volume
12.8k
13.6k lifetime
Open interest
10.4k
+7,037 over 30d
Spread
18¢
109 × 165 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 80¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%+11

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask
58¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 42¢
24h low 34¢24h high 80¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 2:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask26490¢
  • ask40089¢
  • ask287¢
  • ask186¢
  • ask185¢
  • ask12084¢
  • ask1,48977¢
  • ask16576¢
spread18¢mid 67¢
  • bid10958¢
  • bid1,60157¢
  • bid156¢
  • bid6055¢
  • bid9854¢
  • bid41053¢
  • bid251¢
  • bid80150¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 15.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
15.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC16
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
34s ago69¢52bought no
34s ago70¢52bought no
34s ago69¢386bought no
34s ago70¢3bought no
34s ago70¢28bought no
34s ago70¢100bought no
3m ago80¢68bought yes
3m ago80¢12bought yes
10m ago79¢100bought no
10m ago79¢52bought no
11m ago79¢7bought yes
13m ago77¢1bought yes
13m ago77¢45bought yes
13m ago75¢33bought yes
13m ago73¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.