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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Queens University wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
30.5k
31.2k lifetime
Open interest
27.5k
+3,287 over 7d
Spread
4¢
1 × 1,062 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 73¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 74¢
24h low 26¢24h high 73¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢30¢35¢volNov 4, 2:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask238¢
  • ask1536¢
  • ask2533¢
  • ask4,63731¢
  • ask1,00030¢
  • ask2,00029¢
  • ask13128¢
  • ask1,94127¢
spread1¢mid 27¢
  • bid126¢
  • bid1024¢
  • bid123¢
  • bid6322¢
  • bid58221¢
  • bid1,41620¢
  • bid219¢
  • bid2,00218¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Queens University wins by more than 1.5 points in the Queens University vs Loyola Marymount men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04QUCLMU-QUC2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
38s ago27¢188bought no
2m ago39¢34bought no
2m ago40¢2bought no
2m ago40¢20bought no
3m ago33¢444bought yes
4m ago38¢3bought no
6m ago43¢56bought yes
9m ago52¢11bought yes
9m ago52¢5bought yes
9m ago52¢5bought yes
9m ago53¢5bought yes
9m ago52¢155bought yes
9m ago52¢100bought yes
9m ago51¢12bought yes
9m ago52¢93bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.