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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

California wins by over 15.5 points

24h volume
67.8k
68.7k lifetime
Open interest
52.3k
+43.1k over 7d
Spread
8¢
30 × 10 at the touch
24h range
39¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 59¢
24h low 39¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volNov 4, 3:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25253¢
  • ask1,00252¢
  • ask751¢
  • ask150¢
  • ask39249¢
  • ask50048¢
  • ask2,40447¢
  • ask1,08346¢
spread4¢mid 44¢
  • bid1,78042¢
  • bid2,07741¢
  • bid540¢
  • bid8,20539¢
  • bid238¢
  • bid1,00237¢
  • bid25236¢
  • bid1735¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If California wins by more than 15.5 points in the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
15.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL16
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9s ago46¢105bought yes
39s ago42¢66bought yes
48s ago41¢50bought yes
49s ago41¢31bought yes
4m ago43¢45bought yes
4m ago46¢75bought no
4m ago50¢10bought no
6m ago50¢197bought yes
6m ago50¢1bought yes
6m ago49¢200bought yes
9m ago51¢32bought yes
9m ago50¢112bought yes
10m ago42¢10bought no
11m ago46¢81bought yes
14m ago54¢32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.