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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

California wins by over 22.5 points

24h volume
1,495
1,495 lifetime
Open interest
1,435
Spread
13¢
2,455 × 6,883 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 84¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask140¢
  • ask137¢
  • ask1,00035¢
  • ask25033¢
  • ask2,00029¢
  • ask50028¢
  • ask4,83227¢
  • ask1,00026¢
spread9¢mid 22¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid2,45516¢
  • bid5014¢
  • bid26.7k12¢
  • bid1,06211¢
  • bid110¢
  • bid1,0007¢
  • bid206¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If California wins by more than 22.5 points in the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
22.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL23
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
43m ago28¢15bought yes
48m ago24¢15bought no
54m ago25¢15bought yes
1h ago22¢15bought no
1h ago30¢1,300bought yes
1h ago29¢30bought no
4h ago30¢95bought yes
6h ago30¢9bought yes
11h ago28¢1.5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.