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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Indiana wins by over 26.5 points

24h volume
769
777 lifetime
Open interest
777
+777 over 24h
Spread
1¢
498 × 815 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 56¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
24h low 52¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢volNov 4, 11:36 PMNov 5, 3:14 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5067¢
  • ask2,32363¢
  • ask80862¢
  • ask1060¢
  • ask2559¢
  • ask24958¢
  • ask1,99357¢
  • ask81556¢
spread1¢mid 56¢
  • bid49855¢
  • bid3,12354¢
  • bid1253¢
  • bid1,02552¢
  • bid5751¢
  • bid2550¢
  • bid23949¢
  • bid28348¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 26.5 points in the Bellarmine vs Indiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
floor
26.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05BELLIND-IND27
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago56¢7.68bought yes
3m ago56¢0.32bought yes
1h ago55¢2bought no
3h ago56¢17bought yes
3h ago55¢217bought no
3h ago55¢33bought no
3h ago54¢10bought yes
3h ago54¢25bought yes
3h ago53¢7.26bought yes
3h ago52¢5bought yes
3h ago52¢200bought yes
3h ago52¢250bought yes
4h ago53¢2.74bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.