Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Duke wins by over 43.5 points

24h volume
213
213 lifetime
Open interest
153
+107 over 30d
Spread
3¢
391 × 13 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 56¢
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 65¢
24h low 34¢24h high 56¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volNov 5, 12:00 AMNov 5, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 43.5 points in the Coastal Carolina vs Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 4 · 11:08 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
43.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CCARDUKE-DUKE44
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.