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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Penn St. wins by over 15.5 points

24h volume
16.7k
16.7k lifetime
Open interest
16.7k
Spread
2¢
2,652 × 242 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 53¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 57¢

YES bid / ask
43¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 57¢
24h low 43¢24h high 53¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2254¢
  • ask1053¢
  • ask2651¢
  • ask41049¢
  • ask6,00948¢
  • ask1,08047¢
  • ask2,78846¢
  • ask24245¢
spread2¢mid 44¢
  • bid2,65243¢
  • bid5,27942¢
  • bid71741¢
  • bid98640¢
  • bid8739¢
  • bid2637¢
  • bid735¢
  • bid6034¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Penn St. wins by more than 15.5 points in the Chattanooga vs Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
floor
15.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CHATPSU-PSU16
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago44¢4bought yes
1h ago44¢242bought no
1h ago43¢336bought no
1h ago44¢106bought no
2h ago45¢2bought yes
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢717bought no
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢37bought no
2h ago47¢341bought no
2h ago47¢661bought no
2h ago47¢2,117bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.