Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Cincinnati wins by over 12.5 points

24h volume
78
78 lifetime
Open interest
78
+78 over 7d
Spread
10¢
1 × 1 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 87¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 85¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 25¢

YES bid / ask
75¢ / 85¢
NO bid / ask
15¢ / 25¢
24h low 85¢24h high 87¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

70¢80¢90¢volNov 5, 1:00 AMNov 5, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,65992¢
  • ask2491¢
  • ask30690¢
  • ask10889¢
  • ask6988¢
  • ask6487¢
  • ask1386¢
  • ask185¢
spread10¢mid 80¢
  • bid175¢
  • bid6.1574¢
  • bid1373¢
  • bid972¢
  • bid1471¢
  • bid4670¢
  • bid2,14369¢
  • bid2468¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Cincinnati wins by more than 12.5 points in the Green Bay vs Cincinnati men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 4 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
12.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05GBCIN-CIN13
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago85¢1.15bought yes
4h ago87¢2.71bought no
4h ago87¢2.62bought no
4h ago87¢3.41bought no
4h ago87¢4.4bought no
4h ago87¢4.57bought no
4h ago87¢5.17bought no
4h ago87¢7.45bought no
4h ago87¢25bought no
4h ago87¢9.14bought no
4h ago87¢12bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.